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Unlocking the Potential of Companies through AI: Calculating ROI on AI Investments

Jul 3, 2023 12:00:00 AM Ivan Draganov 5 min read

Introduction:

Unlocking the true business potential of AI-driven projects requires a keen understanding of their quantifiable worth. While qualitative aspects offer human-centric insights, decision-makers seek tangible metrics. Today, we embark on a journey to demystify the Return on Investment (ROI) of AI concepts. Discover how strategic alignment, risk assessment, and swift execution can drive transformative outcomes. By delving into a real-world example, we will explore the unique aspects of AI, the calculation of ROI, and the value it can bring to tech-enabled companies. We will also highlight the role of LyRise.AI in maximizing the ROI of AI investments.

Understanding the Value of AI:

At its core, a valuable idea in the business realm creates profits by either generating revenue or cutting costs. When it comes to AI, an overwhelming 95% of AI solutions drive business value through saving man-hours. However, the probabilistic nature of AI introduces complexities in calculating ROI due to the chance of errors and associated costs.

Mapping out the soft and hard benefits against returns and investments is a valuable approach to gain a comprehensive understanding of an AI project's impact. By categorizing the benefits as either hard or soft, and aligning them with the corresponding investments and returns, organizations can effectively evaluate the overall value proposition of the project. Hard benefits typically refer to tangible and measurable outcomes that directly impact the bottom line, such as cost savings, revenue generation, or efficiency gains. These benefits can be quantified in monetary terms, making them relatively straightforward to assess. On the other hand, soft benefits encompass intangible advantages that are harder to quantify but still contribute to the project's value. These can include improved customer satisfaction, enhanced decision-making capabilities, or increased employee productivity.

 

Hard benefits

Soft benefits

Investments

  • AI software development costs
  • Integration with existing systems
  • Training and onboarding expenses

Returns

  • Cost savings through optimized inventory levels
  • Reduction in stockouts and overstock situations
  • Reduction in carrying costs and inventory write-offs
  • Improved supply chain visibility
  • Enhanced demand forecasting
  • Streamlined inventory operations



Calculating ROI on AI Investments:

To evaluate the return on an AI solution, a generic formula can be employed, which encompasses various factors. The formula is as follows:

Return = Value per prediction * Number of predictions - (Chance of errors * Cost of errors) * Number of predictions

Return represents the value generated by an AI solution.
Value per prediction quantifies the value derived from a single prediction, such as time saved, cost reduction, or new revenue.
The chance of errors denotes the probability that the AI model makes an incorrect prediction.
The cost of errors refers to the additional costs incurred by erroneous predictions.

 

Real-world Example: Inventory Optimization:

Imagine you run a retail business that handles a vast inventory of products. One of the key challenges you face is effectively managing stock levels to avoid overstocking or running out of popular items. To address this issue, you consider implementing an AI-powered inventory optimization system. With the AI system, you can analyze historical sales data, market trends, and other relevant factors to forecast future demand accurately. By optimizing your inventory levels, you aim to reduce carrying costs, minimize product obsolescence, and increase overall profitability.

To calculate the ROI of this AI initiative, you need to consider several factors. First, you estimate the value generated per prediction, which could include reduced holding costs, decreased waste, and increased sales due to better availability of products. Let's say the estimated value per prediction amounts to $5. Next, you assess the error rate and the cost of errors. AI models are not infallible, so you need to determine the probability of overstocking or stockouts occurring due to prediction inaccuracies. By comparing the AI system's performance against a baseline of human performance, you can estimate the error rate. Additionally, you must evaluate the costs associated with errors. For example, if overstocking occurs due to an inaccurate prediction, you may incur storage costs, increased markdowns, or potential product obsolescence. On the other hand, stockouts may result in missed sales opportunities and potential customer dissatisfaction. By quantifying the error rate and the associated costs, you can factor them into the ROI calculation. Let's assume the error rate is determined to be 5%, and the cost of errors per occurrence is estimated to be $10.

Considering these values, you can calculate the return on investment for the AI-powered inventory optimization system. Suppose you anticipate making 10,000 predictions in a year. The ROI can be calculated using the formula:

ROI = (Value per prediction * Number of predictions) - (Chance of errors * Cost of errors * Number of predictions)

ROI = ($5 * 10,000) - (0.05 * $10 * 10,000) = $50,000 - $5,000 = $45,000

In this example, the estimated return on investment for implementing the AI-powered inventory optimization system amounts to $45,000. This demonstrates the potential value that AI can bring to your business by optimizing inventory management and improving overall profitability. Remember, it is essential to continuously monitor the AI system's performance, refine it over time, and update the ROI calculations accordingly to ensure sustained benefits and maximize return on investment.

Optimizing ROI with LyRise.AI:

Calculating ROI on AI investments is a complex process that demands expertise and knowledge. That's where LyRise.AI comes in. LyRise.AI is a leading marketplace for AI talent. LyRise.AI helps companies integrate AI seamlessly into their product offerings, driving tangible business value.LyRise.AI's team of experts works closely with founders and business leaders to identify the specific value drivers and tailor AI solutions accordingly. From improving efficiency through process automation to unlocking new revenue streams through predictive analytics, LyRise.AI empowers businesses to harness the full potential of AI.

Ivan Draganov

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